Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 2.077007 2.365739 2.679436 3.045499 3.460903 3.917633 4.457906
2025-10-12 1.622669 2.014937 2.478132 3.065158 3.789224 4.653141 5.762579
2025-10-19 1.409915 1.858130 2.418610 3.170423 4.152351 5.391424 7.074666
2025-10-26 1.214577 1.681311 2.293195 3.153271 4.330753 5.886559 8.099940
2025-11-02 1.068770 1.544146 2.193518 3.144182 4.499997 6.364375 9.125050
2025-11-09 0.936841 1.406684 2.072680 3.083998 4.580258 6.712755 9.985820
2025-11-16 0.854976 1.329684 2.025655 3.118310 4.789869 7.251065 11.153924
2025-11-23 0.786946 1.264459 1.986782 3.156398 5.001963 7.802495 12.379535
2025-11-30 0.716910 1.187806 1.921368 3.144167 5.130552 8.231171 13.444088
2025-12-07 0.647114 1.103802 1.835318 3.088700 5.181542 8.536814 14.330784
2025-12-14 0.584021 1.024154 1.748087 3.021349 5.203714 8.792468 15.149048
2025-12-21 0.534259 0.961961 1.683442 2.984415 5.270482 9.121669 16.109884
2025-12-28 0.525034 0.973168 1.750369 3.190668 5.791593 10.290695 18.673494
2026-01-04 0.485530 0.926899 1.714252 3.214493 5.999823 10.949061 20.421472
2026-01-11 0.463066 0.909066 1.726194 3.324660 6.371161 11.923570 22.823256
2026-01-18 0.425657 0.858655 1.672810 3.306692 6.500976 12.467852 24.472841
2026-01-25 0.393387 0.814637 1.626750 3.297165 6.643890 13.045372 26.233063
2026-02-01 0.358386 0.761330 1.557269 3.234088 6.674592 13.408559 27.603427
2026-02-08 0.337603 0.734941 1.538308 3.270050 6.905178 14.178395 29.850467
2026-02-15 0.319045 0.711226 1.522296 3.309969 7.146334 14.987549 32.246717
2026-02-22 0.297149 0.677997 1.483246 3.297150 7.274823 15.575993 34.231216
2026-03-01 0.273296 0.637955 1.425876 3.239016 7.300043 15.949746 35.787543
2026-03-08 0.250658 0.598310 1.365586 3.168427 7.290740 16.247544 37.201533